I have been trying to make sense of the Middle East
mayhem
Am I alone in believing that for all the blood and
treasure expended in Iraq, Afghanistan and elsewhere, the real conflict is not
the so-called ‘War on Terror’. This is a diversion. There may be some madmen
who believe that the world can be turned into a Caliphate, but the real
conflict is much bigger and goes on largely unnoticed by the world.
What is happening – and has been for years – is a
civil war within Islam.
It has been and will be bloody in the extreme.
It has been going on for at least 50 years.
Egypt suffered more casualties when it intervened in
Yemen in the 1960’s than in the 6-Day War. The Iran-Iraq war in the 80’s
resembled WW1, with horrendous casualties, maybe 1 million dead. Sunni, Shia
and Taliban are killing each other on a daily basis in Pakistan, which is also
ruthlessly suppressing an uprising in Baluchistan. Nigerian fundamentalists are
causing mayhem in the Muslim north, killing both Muslims and Christians.
Since the 2nd Gulf War 120,000 Iraqis have
been killed, more than 500 only last week, Sunni against Shia, Iraqi against
Kurd, tribe against tribe.
There have been civil wars in Sudan, Algeria, Lebanon
and Mali. Syria is a blood-bath, with Sunni, Shia, and just about every other
sect fighting each other. Assad has been very successful in turning the
conflict from an uprising into something quite different, but it may well be
the end of Syria as we know it. Lebanon, one of the cradles of civilisation and
home to very intelligent and cultured people, had 15 years of everybody fighting
everybody else and has been in a state of simmering conflict ever since. Libya
seems to have settled into semi-anarchy. Somalia is a failed state that exports
its own brand of Islamic terrorism to its neighbours plus piracy and
kidnapping.
The old post-colonial boundaries are fracturing, with
Syria and Iraq in particular fragmenting into warring parts.
‘What comes next?’ seems both unanswerable and
unaskable.
Time was, before the Russian invasion, that Kabul was
a sophisticated city with a culture stretching back to the Ancient Greeks,
modern buildings, busy markets, women in Western dress. The Mujahidin ransacked
the museums and flogged off the contents on the black-market. The Taliban
destroyed that entire culture. The ultimate cultural atrocity was the
destruction of the Great Buddha carvings of Bamiyan, more than 1000 years old.
How did all that advance the cause of Islam? It is
totally nihilistic.
Now we have the fall-out from the ‘ARAB Spring’ to add
to the noxious brew. This goes beyond Sunni vs. Shia, tribe against tribe, and
stirs in class warfare, with the young, educated and unemployed bourgeoisie
pitted against the Establishment, be it political or religious. This will be
the scenario for many years to come, so we can safely ignore the pundits
and armchair strategists who are constantly writing articles entitled ‘Has the
Arab Spring turned to Winter’ or some such garbage.
I have no doubt that ordinary Muslims want what
everybody wants – education, employment, justice, honest government. The men
with beards are equally determined that they will not get it.
No comments:
Post a Comment