The possession of nukes
is demonstrably a very strong deterrent against foreign aggression. No country
that possesses such a deterrent has yet to be invaded and for obvious reasons.
And the more fanatic the country possessing nukes, the more hesitant we Western
peacekeepers are about changing the regime. Thus, to continue your dialogue re
Iran, we either perform a pre-emptive strike before Iran's uranium is
weaponized, or we allow them to develop a nuclear capacity and do our best to
placate them. It is pretty clear that the US does not want Iran to become a
nuclear power and will, along with Israel, take out their key nuclear
processing plants. This was successfully achieved in Syria. Too bad it was not
also done in Pakistan and Korea.
Our leading Republican
contenders for the Presidency want to prevent Iran from becoming a nuclear
power even if it means invading the country. Militating against this view
is a strong body of opinion that does not want to repeat our invasion of Iraq
on the erroneous grounds that they possessed weapons of mass destruction. At
present, we are weighing fuzzy intelligence on the subject, curbing Israel and
risking waiting too long to do anything. Everybody in the US wants Iran's
nuclear potential to be limited and nobody wants another war. It looks like we
are determined to be irresolute.
The Egyptian people have
reared up again. Let's hope this time the US will not plunge in with all four
feet in its mouth by lauding the glories of the proletarian masses and their
fanatical Islamic underpinnings. A good test of such fanaticism is the public
reaction to the young Egyptian lass who bared her body in Facebook in protest over
her county's Neanderthal values. I would not sell her life insurance. More to
the point, we should have learned by now that being in the Middle Eastern
frying pan is preferable to the fire. Egypt's military is the only
institutionalized force in the country capable of running the government. It
has not done a bad job, comparatively speaking, and has managed to keep the
fanatics at bay. It also tolerates Israel and for that alone should maintain
its dominance until the Arab world experiences a Reformation.
Syria, meanwhile, is
doing an excellent job of engineering its own grave. The regime will fall
because Asaad's ham fisted tactics will only deepen enmity and hostility toward
him and his Alawite minority. No doubt the West is already feeding and arming the
rebels and no doubt also that the protests will be hijacked by the Syrian
equivalent of the Muslim Brotherhood. What a shame for a country as great as
Syria to be subject to the myopia of a frightened leader whose inheritance from
the golden age of Arab rule amounts to nothing.
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