As
is well-known, you can torture statistics to tell you anything you want to
hear. So I always take the ONS economic surveys with a barrow-load of salt.
According
to them the UK has suffered a double dip recession.
But
a trawl of the financial commentators hardly confirms this.
The
general picture is of steady growth during the first six months. The Purchasing
Managers’ Survey (always a sound bellwether) is one source that indicates this.
The
aerospace industry is busy. The car industry is doing just fine. Unemployment
is down, and 166,000 new jobs were created in the first quarter. Growth exceeds
losses despite hefty redundancies in the public sector. This trend is
continuing and most jobs are full-time. And whilst I am at it, let me dispel
the widely-held notion that ‘we don’t make anything anymore’, despite the fact
that manufacturing accounts for over 80% of our exports and output is double
that of 1958.
The
car industry first.
The
UK, US and Germany are all making good profits.
Spain,
France and Italy are, as Fiat boss described it, ‘Standing in the doo-doo’.
Peugeot/Citroen made a first half loss of $1 bn. At the time JLR was announcing
another 4-figure jobs increase, Peugeot wants to cut 6,500 jobs and close its
Paris plant (but Hollande won’t let them!). Ford expects to lose $1 bn+ from
its Europe operations. GM expects to lose $1 bn also in addition to the $14 bn
lost since 1999. Renault is struggling with sinking sales. As many as 12 plants
will need to close to remove surplus capacity.
By
contrast, JLR has had a record year. The UK has become a net exporter of cars
for the first time since the 1970’s.
The
UK is home to no less than 8 global car firms, as well as Dennis, Leyland, LDV,
and JCB with the heavy stuff. Half of all Ford diesel engines are made at
Dagenham.
Other
industrial behemoths are BAE Systems, the second largest aerospace company in
the world, the amazing GKN which was founded in 1767 to make nuts and bolts and
things and is now an international company right at the cutting-edge of
technology, Vosper Thorneycroft, one of the world’s largest builders of
warships, and at the luxury end, Princess, Sealine, and Sunseeker build motor
yachts on an international scale.
And
we are home to the second and third
largest pharma companies in the world, Astra-Zeneca and GSM.
If
you would like to drink to our success, we are also home to 3 of the world’s
biggest brewers.
Cheers!
1 comment:
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