‘2014 the hottest year on
record’, fanfared the recent headlines. They say that it was the hottest year
since records began in 1880. The Daily Mail said it was definite proof that the
earth was warming ‘very quickly’. The BBC went one better, saying that 18th
Century data shows that it was the hottest year in about the last 250. And
another press report said that nine of the hottest years have occurred in the
last 10, which is probably true if you only start in 2004. Never mind that the
report was about world climate change in which Britain is an insignificant
player.
And the short riposte to this
is in the spherical plural.
The snag with this claim is
that global temperatures can only be measured by satellite. Not too many
of those around in Victoria’s days. And satellite records show that there has
been no warming for the past 18 years. Scientists can take a much-longer term
view by studying ice core records, and these show that earth’s temperature is
ranked in the lowest 3% since the last Ice Age, 10,000 years ago. We know from
historical records that Europe was much warmer in the Middle Ages (when wine
was produced in Yorkshire, of all places) and in Roman times.
And we have been emerging
from a mini-Ice Age for the last 150 years, so it is blindingly obvious that
temperatures were on average lower at the start of the period than at the end
According to NASA the hottest
year on record for the USA was 1934. Even this is questionable because global
temperature changes are measured in hundredths of degrees, and there is
no thermometer, which was the only instrument available until very recent
times, able to produce information remotely capable of this. The warmists
say that this is ‘insubstantial’ because the US only occupies 2% of the earth’s
land mass - and at the same time prophesying doom because of melting icecaps
when the Arctic only covers 3% of the world’s land mass. The changes are
measured in two-hundredths of a degree; that’s right – 2/100!
All this ’warmist’ stuff is
beginning to look like scientists deciding on a conclusion and then massaging
the facts to meet it. They continue to use thermometer records because they
suit the case, not because they are accurate. Even this fails to make a case
when closely examined. The records show that temperatures in the early 20th
Century were higher than stated. Whether this is due to tinkering with
the raw data is unclear. But it looks possible that the trend has been cooler,
not warmer.
The most realistic conclusion
is that in the past 100 years there has been no appreciable climate change that
matters.
And that is not something to
be welcomed by the institutions and assorted freeloaders aboard the Great Green
Gravy Train.
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