My experience of the NHS here compels me to
think more kindly of it than do many of its critics.
In 1948, shortly after the NHS began, my
elder brother was diagnosed with TB/ meningitis. If the NHS had started just a
while later he would have died. As it was, he spent 2 years in hospital and was
one of the first patients to be treated with streptomycin. He was also a
cripple from birth as a result of a congenital dislocated hip (for which under
private medicine he would not have been insured as a preexisting condition). So
he was a lifetime patient of the NHS. As a successful businessman, he also paid
his dues.
In those early days the NHS was regarded as
a wonder of the world, which it was. But that was then and now is now. Society
has changed out of all recognition in the past 65 years, and social attitudes
have changed with it. We now have an entitlement culture in which services are
regarded as a right rather than a boon.
One manifestation of this is that the NHS
has been taking a lot of flak in recent years, both from people and press and
from grandstanding politicians. How justified is it? ‘Not very’ is my reply.
The Red Tops are constantly accusing it of
being run by too many fat-cats in suits. Not true. Only 2.8% of the staff
establishment is classified as ‘management’.
They also say that it costs too much, and
yet we spend £300 per person per year less on health care than the European
average. The cost to the nation is just over 6% of GDP. In Germany it is 10%.
France spends 25% more than Britain.
A recent independent survey comparing
the British experience with Australia,
Canada, New Zealand The Netherlands, and the US has shown an average
patient-satisfaction rating of over 80%. The NHS came second overall. It fell
down in one major area – cleanliness, where it came it sixth, a consequence of
‘lowest tender’ privatization, perhaps.
That we get many complaints and a few major
scandals must be set against the fact that it treats 1 million patients every
36 hours. In a perverse sense, the fact that scandals are of such rarity that
they make the front page for days is a success measure.
And yet……….
Things cannot go on the way they are. God
knows how many ‘reforms’ have been started, going all the way back to the
‘prescription charges’ row that split the Labour Party.
The truth that politicians do not have the
moral courage to face is that the NHS has two basic structural faults that will
not respond to minor surgery.
The first is its founding principle of free
delivery at the point of service, regardless of ability to pay.
It is simple economics that if you provide
a free good, the demand will be insatiable, inexhaustible, and ultimately
unaffordable. This is precisely the NHS predicament. Over the years, science
has provided exponential improvements in health care, but this involves
ever-more expensive technology treatment and
drugs. It has also played its part in extending average lifespan to
around 80, almost a doubling in a century. This has been accompanied by higher
expectations and an entitlement-culture that leads people to seeing the Doctor
for the most trivial reasons.
The second is that the NHS is simply too
big. It is almost impossible to manage an organization that employs 1.4 million
staff, especially when officials and Ministers in Whitehall insist on
micro-managing from the centre. Only Indian Railways and Wal-Mart are this size.
Without fundamental change, the NHS will
collapse under the weight of its own contradictions.
The free-good philosophy must be abandoned
and charges levied for certain categories of patient and treatment.
We hear much about the overburdening of
A&E departments. A starting point would be charges to walking-wounded who
appear in Casualty at the week-end with injuries from drunkenness, brawling and
other anti-social behaviour. The outcome might be fewer patients and higher revenue.
All patients with a family income of
£24,000 should be required to make a contribution to their treatment, beginning
with a fee for each consultation. This might reduce time-wasting for trivial,
cut waiting times, and do away with the hated appointments-ritual. In return,
GPs would be expected to restore week-end surgery hours.
But changes of this kind are simply
nibbling around the edges.
The NHS can’t be ‘reformed’; it must be reconstructed.
How?
The German system has its attractions.
Health care is the responsibility of the Lander together with mostly
not-for-profit independent hospitals and private practitioners. The Federal Government
is a regulatory body and funding source but has no management role. The budget
is 72% from taxes and 23% from private contributions. This creates a system
that has a degree of democratic accountability and transparency, to which
patients must make a financial contribution, and with a bottom-upwards management
philosophy in which decisions are made at the lowest appropriate level.
This is well suited to a Federal system;
could something similar work in the UK?
One solution might be to revert to the
basic structure pre-1974, when hospitals and clinical services were the
responsibility of Regional Health Authorities, with community health being run
by local authorities. But it was frustrated and restricted by the dead hand of Whitehall.
There would need to be substantial differences.
The Ministry of Health should play the same role as the Federal Government in Germany.
The RHA should have some democratic presence. In particular, the head of service
should be elected, on a similar basis as the new Police Authorities. The
prospect of being turfed-out by the voters at the end of 4 years would
concentrate the mind considerably.
It should have its own taxation powers, so
that voters could see exactly how much of taxpayers’ money was being spent and where.
This is well-nigh impossible under the present regime. (The overall cost of the
NHS is currently £109 billion, which by my reckoning is about £1500 per person).
On the basis of ‘he who pays the piper’,
it would also severely limit the ability of Whitehall to put its oar in.
So there it is, Jeremy Hunt. Now get on with
it!
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