Some
years ago I was given a Master-class in fracking by an American oilman. That
does not make me an expert but I guess I know a little more about it than the
Greens, Friends of the Earth, No Dash for
Gas and others of the ragbag from
Rent-a-Skiver currently infesting the village of Balcombe.
Let’s
get started on some myths.
Contrary
to the conventional view, there is nothing new about fracking. It is not the
latest technological miracle that will save the planet or destroy it.
Fracking
has been around in some form since 1868. The modern technique was developed 50
years ago. It began to take off in a big way in 1975. The great breakthrough
came around 20 years ago with the
development of horizontal drilling. Since the 1980’s over 200 wells have been
sunk in Britain, and 300 fracking licences have been issued
A
site in Nottinghamshire has been providing gas since 1963. One nodding donkey
provides 300 barrels of oil and 1 million cubic feet of gas each day. It
supplies energy to 21,000 homes. The Fylde field has long been providing the
equivalent of 50% of North Sea gas output.
Fracking
is applied not only to natural gas but to oil, water, disposal of difficult
wastes and other uses. It provides most of Germany’s natural gas. It is now
being used in the Karroo to supply water to one of South Africa’s most arid and
poverty-stricken regions.
Now
to the environmental impact.
There
is not one scrap of scientific evidence that fracking contaminates water.
Hundreds of thousands of fracking operations have been carried out in the US.
Contamination of aquifers? Zero! The film ‘Gasland’, which showed flames coming
out of a man’s kitchen tap was a deliberate distortion of the truth. The
homeowner had actually drilled his own borehole into a pocket of methane.
Visual
intrusion? When fully extended a nodding donkey is 15 feet high. Compare this
with the wind turbines that march across the Yorkshire Dales, or the hundreds
of electricity pylons from Sizewell that disfigure the Suffolk countryside.
Effect
on wildlife? There is absolutely none. The Nottinghamshire nodding donkey is
inside a RSPB bird sanctuary. The effect of wind turbines on bird-life is
considerable.
Much
hysteria has been generated about the so-called seismic effect. The eco-warriors
tell us that fracking in Lancashire will cause damaging earth tremors in
Blackpool. The truth is that earth tremors caused by fracking, mining or any
other intrusion into the earth’s crust are miniscule. The strongest recorded on
the Richter scale was described as ‘micro’, about the same as a bus passing a
house.
Let’s
examine the economic and geo-political impact.
The
largest known reserves of shale-gas are in China, and we can be absolutely
certain that they will be exploited.
The
US has the capacity to produce 2 trillion cubic feet of gas, which is between
50 and 100 years demand. Fracking will supply 70% of natural gas in the near
future. And here’s the amazing news.
Anticipated reserves in the UK are only a little less than America’s.
The
effect on the American economy is striking. Abundant and cheap energy from
fracking has led to a manufacturing boom, with a year-on-year growth of 5%.
This has been particularly marked in the petro-chemical industry, with cheaper
feed-stock gas for plastics plus lower energy bills. New factories are opening,
but perhaps equally important has been a
reversal of ‘off-shoring’ as America’s manufacturing costs fall and China’s
labour costs rise and productivity per capita falls.
The
price of American gas has fallen from $13 per million British thermal units to
as low as $2.7, and is currently around $4. The upshot of this is that
Americans pay about one-third of the price of gas in the UK. An interesting side-effect is that terminals
that were built for the import of LPG are being converted for exports(although
the US Government has always been a bit twitchy about exporting energy).
In
the UK, we can look forward to industry becoming more competitive, falling
energy bills for all, and a reduction in fuel-poverty. In future our main
energy source will be the most environmentally friendly of all fuels.
To
prevent the lights going out in the not-too-distant future, the alternatives
are nuclear or coal or, most likely, both.
The
geo-political impact will be game-changing. The US is rapidly approaching
energy self-sufficiency. Its interest in MENA will diminish alongside
dependency on Gulf oil. The outcome for Russia could be dramatic. Its economy
is largely energy-based, and alternative sources of cheap gas would diminish
not just its GDP but also its political clout. It is no coincidence that the
pressure groups caused fracking being banned in Bulgaria were largely funded by
Russia.
So
back to Balcombe.
The
entire hullaballoo is based on an untruth. Cuadrilla is not fracking. It
doesn’t even have a fracking licence. It is drilling an ordinary exploratory
well on a site that was previously drilled without the intervention of Bianca
Jagger and the March 1987 Playmate of the Month. If there is oil in commercial
quantities that flows normally there will be no fracking.
So
far, the sole impact of the eco-warriors at Balcombe has been to destroy 24
acres of sheep-pasture that will now
have to be ploughed and re-seeded.
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