Thursday, August 29, 2013

Endgame in Syria: a Texas take...........

The American take on engaging Syria over its use of chemical weapons is mixed and depends on which part of the country is polled. Adding to the uncertainty generated by the lack of a clear mandate is the extreme politicking going on among the anti and pro Obama camps.
 
A week ago, Fox news was condemning O for not engaging Syria and now, when intervention seems imminent, Fox is scourging O for even thinking of doing so. Fox makes the additional point that if O takes on Syria without consulting the Senate and House, he would be in violation of the Constitution. Such action, Fox continues, would be but another example of O's disdain for the law of the land.
 
Many pundits fail to clarify the difference between chemical and conventional warfare. The former is totally indiscriminate as we well know. To the extent that chemicals kill or seriously harm humans and animals within range, this type of warfare is particularly inhumane. The West has pretty much frozen the use of chemical warfare since its effects became known in WW I.
 
The Yanks liberally employed agent orange in Vietnam claiming ignorance of its effects on human beings. An old soldier in our neighborhood, a Marine, just passed away from cancer which he claims was caused by his exposure to agent orange in Vietnam. Although the poor lad was treated at a Veterans hospital, the government denies any link between agent orange and cancer.
 
Yesterday, it was almost certain that O would act today, Thursday. Reinforcing, or perhaps causing, this conviction, Russia announced that O would strike today. If he does, he will be alone as Parliament in the UK has not given David Cameron the anticipated rubber stamp to join the US intervention.
 
Obama has already stated that he will not act alone. Hence, the US is waiting for a decision from the UK. As one of the ranchers here put it, 'a dollar is waiting on a dime'. However chauvinistic this may seem, it offers an insight into where the USA-UK relationship stands among local cattlemen.
 
That Israel is madly issuing gas masks to its population is a pretty good indication of what they expect. Namely, that the US will order its fighter jets to hit selected targets in Syria and that in return, either Syria, or Iran, will retaliate against Israel. Iran has already threatened such action and all concerned are taking them seriously.
 
From every perspective, the prevailing bete noir for the West in the Middle East is Iran. People in the US understand this and would not be upset if Iran, its government, its Revolutionary Guard and its Ayatollahs, would all be taught an object lesson in American firepower. The risk, of course, is that American and even American and allied firepower is not enough to successfully conduct a surgical operation that would neutralize Iran.  
 
The people in the US would like the Middle East to go away. They are fed up with Iran, Egypt, Libya, and Syria in particular and have no affection for the OPEC states and our dependence upon them for whatever oil we are still importing. This disenchantment, indeed, contempt, is widespread thanks to the expansion of fundamentalist groups such as Hezbollah and the Muslim Brotherhood.
 
This disdain has migrated to Muslims in general, especially those easily identified by traditional Muslim dress.
 
Nor is the thought easily digested that the US military capability may be insufficient to meet that of Iran and its allies. Judging from the number of wounded warriors who are now in rehabilitation, war dead and continuing fatalities in Afghanistan, Americans are worried that we cannot win a war in the Middle East using conventional weapons. The number of Americans who would promote the use of nuclear weapons is alarming.
 
Just now, America has little stomach for war. We would like to see a sure fire engagement that would rid us of the Asaad nightmare full stop. There is a nagging feeling that if such action were to be triggered, it would be neither rapid nor sure fire. America is conflicted and nowhere more so than in Washington.

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