Nobody is getting the calls right on the primary
elections. Santorum's success in Mississippi and Alabama was supposed to have
gone to Gingrich and Romney respectively.
Newt is pretty much out of the
picture now, although he will be the last to admit it. His ego will not permit
otherwise. Pity, strutting around losing state after state like the king with
no clothes. The baggage he carries is far to heavy and he cannot shed it other
than to ask forgiveness for his trespasses.
I should thing Newt would be better
off praying to Rick Santorum who behaves as if he is holier than God. I doubt,
however, that Rick would show any mercy. He, Rick, is adamant that Newt
dutifully bow out of the race and thereby cede the vast majority of votes
Newt would get to Santorum. Odd, this also happens to be Newt's
conviction. By splitting the ultra right wing conservative vote between them,
Mitt benefits considerably.
The irony of all this is that the entire primary election is largely meaningless. For example, many states that caucus instead of having a public vote, retain the right to assign their state delegate votes to whomever they want and not necessarily the winning candidate. All three of the key players (Ron Paul is campaigning on behalf of his own obscure agenda) are desperately trying to win the conservative vote.
The only deep, dyed in the
wool conservative among them is Rick Santorum. As God, he would be
conservative, wouldn't he? The problem is, when it comes time for the national
election against Obama, an extreme right wing conservative will not carry the
vote. Not even close. So, what's the point?
The only candidate who can hope to defeat Obama is Romney. Mitt looks presidential, has a clean vice record, knows his economics and is a Washington outsider. The latter is considered an asset in this election as anyone tainted with the Washington brush is viewed as suspect, as in conspiratorial, dishonest, corrupt, greedy, phoney, and inclined to be liberal with the truth.
I personally doubt whether Mitt can defeat Obama given
his tendency to put the public to sleep. There remains the Mormon factor which
has only slightly surfaced, but could be used against Mitt should his opponents
decide it is their last and only chance to win.
Still in all, he has to win the
nomination first and with less than half the 1,100 and odd delegate votes
needed, some believe no candidate will acquire enough votes. If not, then we
will have a brokered election in which the powers that be in the Republican
party meet to decide where to place their influence. The mechanics of a
brokered convention lend themselves to all sorts of shenanigans, wheeling and
dealing.
It is likely, however, Mitt would still be the winner as everyone
knows, except Newt and God, that he has the best chance against Obama.
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